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Version 1.8.1  (2003-11-21), ISBN 3-900051-00-3

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> invisible(options(echo = TRUE))
> #
> # This estimates the Florida model for five categories
> 
> options(width=120);
> set.seed(19342)
> 
> if (!exists("multinomRob"))
+ 	library(multinomRob)
Loading required package: rgenoud 
Loading required package: MASS 
Loading required package: mvtnorm 
> 
> ## read data
> dta <- read.table("REPLICATION_DATA.asc", header=TRUE)
> 
> dta$pdemnader96 <- dta$pdem96 + dta$pnader96 ;
> dta$other00 <- dta$other.candidates00 ;
> 
> ## See names
> names(dta)
 [1] "name"               "TotalVotes00"       "TotalVotes96"       "pDemRV00"           "pRepRV00"          
 [6] "pBlackDemRV00"      "pNonBlackDemRV00"   "pDemRV96"           "pRepRV96"           "pChangeDemRV00"    
[11] "pChangeRepRV00"     "pdem00"             "prep00"             "buchanan00"         "nader00"           
[16] "gore00"             "bush00"             "other.candidates00" "pperot96"           "pnader96"          
[21] "pdem96"             "prep96"             "pGreenRV00"         "pChangeDemRV00.1"   "pChangeRepRV00.1"  
[26] "pcuban00"           "pr1...1."           "pr1...2."           "pr1...3."           "pr1...4."          
[31] "pr2...1."           "pr2...2."           "pr2...3."           "pr2...4."           "pr3...1."          
[36] "pr3...2."           "pr3...3."           "pr3...4."           "inc"                "cen00.native"      
[41] "cen00.asian"        "college"            "cen00.black"        "cen00.hispanic"     "cen00.white"       
[46] "density"            "cen00.population"   "pdemnader96"        "other00"           
> ## And define a model using these names:
> model <- list(buchanan00 ~ pperot96 + pChangeRepRV00 + pcuban00 + pr1...1.,
+               nader00    ~ pdemnader96 +  pGreenRV00 + pcuban00 +   pr1...2.,
+               gore00     ~ pdem96 + pChangeDemRV00 + pcuban00 + pr1...3.,
+               bush00     ~ prep96 + pChangeRepRV00 + pcuban00 + pr1...4.,
+               other00    ~ 0
+               )
> 
> ## Set parameters for Genoud
> zz.genoud.parms <- list(wait.generations      = 30,
+                         max.generations       = 100,
+                         pop.size              = 10000,
+                         print.level = 0
+                         )
> 
> muFLfull1 <- multinomRob(model,
+                  data=dta,
+ #                 genoud.parms   = zz.genoud.parms,
+                  print.level    = 3 ) 

Your Model (xvec):
                                                           buchanan00 nader00 gore00 bush00 other00
(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/NA                  1       1      1      1       0
pperot96/pdemnader96/pdem96/prep96/NA                               1       1      1      1       0
pChangeRepRV00/pGreenRV00/pChangeDemRV00/pChangeRepRV00/NA          1       1      1      1       0
pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/NA                              1       1      1      1       0
pr1...1./pr1...2./pr1...3./pr1...4./NA                              1       1      1      1       0


multinomRob(): Grouped MNL Estimation
[1] "multinomMLE: hessian determinant: 7.46851617394352e+65"
[1] "multinomMLE: OPG determinant: 1.52514955729395e+93"
MNL LQD Fit: 6.182495 
MNL Estimates:
                                                             buchanan00      nader00      gore00      bush00 other00
(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/NA         -0.224482634   1.44446771  3.66564924  3.87456548       0
pperot96/pdemnader96/pdem96/prep96/NA                       1.659961361  -0.33308666  2.34707062  2.20245285       0
pChangeRepRV00/pGreenRV00/pChangeDemRV00/pChangeRepRV00/NA 10.018645329 569.60848224  0.90820840  3.26982853       0
pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/NA                     -1.493154329   1.32833803  2.52775005  3.37389376       0
pr1...1./pr1...2./pr1...3./pr1...4./NA                     -0.006684341  -0.04284493 -0.01633086 -0.02839834       0

MNL SEs:
                                                           buchanan00      nader00     gore00     bush00 other00
(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/NA          0.4860005   0.24957003 0.26042775 0.26435872       0
pperot96/pdemnader96/pdem96/prep96/NA                       4.0022531   0.57197159 0.56303885 0.56300505       0
pChangeRepRV00/pGreenRV00/pChangeDemRV00/pChangeRepRV00/NA  3.9461055 138.11242544 1.37068171 1.07243090       0
pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/NA                      0.8859301   0.40261787 0.38160566 0.31113195       0
pr1...1./pr1...2./pr1...3./pr1...4./NA                      0.0617408   0.02362559 0.02188309 0.01644343       0



multinomRob(): Calculating multinomial-t starting values.
Fixing Bad Estimate: 0 
DF:  0.5 
Fixing Bad Estimate: 1 
DF:  9.5 
Multinom-T LQD Fit (step  2 ): 5.825065 
Multinom-T Beta Estimates (step  2 ):
                                                           buchanan00     nader00     gore00       bush00 other00
(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/NA         -0.7209825   0.7565743 3.21543267  4.139626711       0
pperot96/pdemnader96/pdem96/prep96/NA                       4.9902668   0.6693684 3.21217716  1.496085542       0
pChangeRepRV00/pGreenRV00/pChangeDemRV00/pChangeRepRV00/NA 10.7325557 814.8621430 0.81572550  2.618746950       0
pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/NA                     -1.2838884   0.2904904 1.52043753  2.767826767       0
pr1...1./pr1...2./pr1...3./pr1...4./NA                     -0.0308991   0.0215134 0.02048506 -0.006711586       0
Multinom-T Beta SEs (step  2 ):
                                                           buchanan00      nader00     gore00     bush00 other00
(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/NA         0.21770434   0.24647539 0.17244826 0.15962625       0
pperot96/pdemnader96/pdem96/prep96/NA                      1.80904089   0.57038241 0.38532444 0.33149868       0
pChangeRepRV00/pGreenRV00/pChangeDemRV00/pChangeRepRV00/NA 1.99301067 152.43984853 1.11807916 0.93030523       0
pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/NA                     1.37794395   1.34518741 1.07680938 1.02324471       0
pr1...1./pr1...2./pr1...3./pr1...4./NA                     0.02654994   0.02351019 0.01426913 0.01472109       0
Multinom-T Omega Estimates (step  2 ):
           buchanan00    nader00     gore00     bush00
buchanan00 0.17650606 0.06072789 0.09023211 0.08532195
nader00    0.06072789 0.15440524 0.10200981 0.09773280
gore00     0.09023211 0.10200981 0.10859322 0.10090061
bush00     0.08532195 0.09773280 0.10090061 0.09886259
Multinom-T DF (step  2 ): 10.62995 

multinomRob(): Using multinomial-t estimates as starting values.
Multinom-T LQD Fit: 5.825065 
Multinom-T Estimates:
                                                           buchanan00     nader00     gore00       bush00 other00
(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/NA         -0.7209825   0.7565743 3.21543267  4.139626711       0
pperot96/pdemnader96/pdem96/prep96/NA                       4.9902668   0.6693684 3.21217716  1.496085542       0
pChangeRepRV00/pGreenRV00/pChangeDemRV00/pChangeRepRV00/NA 10.7325557 814.8621430 0.81572550  2.618746950       0
pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/NA                     -1.2838884   0.2904904 1.52043753  2.767826767       0
pr1...1./pr1...2./pr1...3./pr1...4./NA                     -0.0308991   0.0215134 0.02048506 -0.006711586       0
Multinom-T DF: 10.62995 

multinomRob(): Starting Values 
                                                           buchanan00     nader00     gore00       bush00 other00
(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/NA         -0.7209825   0.7565743 3.21543267  4.139626711       0
pperot96/pdemnader96/pdem96/prep96/NA                       4.9902668   0.6693684 3.21217716  1.496085542       0
pChangeRepRV00/pGreenRV00/pChangeDemRV00/pChangeRepRV00/NA 10.7325557 814.8621430 0.81572550  2.618746950       0
pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/NA                     -1.2838884   0.2904904 1.52043753  2.767826767       0
pr1...1./pr1...2./pr1...3./pr1...4./NA                     -0.0308991   0.0215134 0.02048506 -0.006711586       0
multinomRob(): starting fit = 5.825065 


Sat Feb 21 23:28:08 2004
Domains:
 -7.930808e+00   <=  X1   <=    6.488843e+00 
 -4.491240e+01   <=  X2   <=    5.489293e+01 
 -9.659300e+01   <=  X3   <=    1.180581e+02 
 -1.412277e+01   <=  X4   <=    1.155500e+01 
 -3.398901e-01   <=  X5   <=    2.780919e-01 
 -6.809169e+00   <=  X6   <=    8.322317e+00 
 -6.024316e+00   <=  X7   <=    7.363052e+00 
 -7.333759e+03   <=  X8   <=    8.963484e+03 
 -2.614414e+00   <=  X9   <=    3.195395e+00 
 -1.936206e-01   <=  X10  <=    2.366474e-01 
 -2.893889e+01   <=  X11  <=    3.536976e+01 
 -2.890959e+01   <=  X12  <=    3.533395e+01 
 -7.341529e+00   <=  X13  <=    8.972980e+00 
 -1.368394e+01   <=  X14  <=    1.672481e+01 
 -1.843656e-01   <=  X15  <=    2.253357e-01 
 -3.725664e+01   <=  X16  <=    4.553589e+01 
 -1.346477e+01   <=  X17  <=    1.645694e+01 
 -2.356872e+01   <=  X18  <=    2.880622e+01 
 -2.491044e+01   <=  X19  <=    3.044609e+01 
 -7.382745e-02   <=  X20  <=    6.040428e-02 

WARNING: Operator 5 (Polytope Crossover) may only be started
WARNING: an even number of times.  I am increasing this operator by one.

WARNING: Operator 6 (Multiple Point Simple Crossover) may only be started
WARNING: an even number of times.  I am increasing this operator by one.

WARNING: Operator 8 (Heuristic Crossover) may only be started
WARNING: an even number of times.  I am increasing this operator by one.

Data Type: Floating Point
Operators (code number, name, population) 
	(1) Cloning........................... 	121
	(2) Uniform Mutation.................. 	125
	(3) Boundary Mutation................. 	125
	(4) Non-Uniform Mutation.............. 	125
	(5) Polytope Crossover................ 	126
	(6) Multiple Point Simple Crossover... 	126
	(7) Whole Non-Uniform Mutation........ 	125
	(8) Heuristic Crossover............... 	126
	(9) Local-Minimum Crossover........... 	0

SOFT Maximum Number of Generations: 100
Maximum Nonchanging Generations: 10
Population size       : 1000
Convergence Tolerance: 1.000000e-07

Using the BFGS Derivative Based Optimizer on the Best Individual Each Generation.
Not Checking Gradients before Stoping
Using Out of Bounds Individuals.



Minimization Problem.

Parameter B (hardcoded): 6
Parameter Q (hardcoded): 0.500000


STARTING VALUES


The 2 best initial individuals are
-0.72	 4.99	10.73	-1.28	-0.03	 0.76	 0.67	814.86	 0.29	 0.02	 3.22	 3.21	 0.82	 1.52	 0.02	 4.14	 1.50	 2.62	 2.77	-0.01	
fitness = 5.825065e+00

-0.04	-29.34	-0.84	-4.33	-0.17	 1.74	-3.35	-3094.55	-0.39	-0.15	-25.71	 2.46	-0.41	-10.48	 0.14	 3.39	 2.22	14.66	-17.39	-0.00	
fitness = 4.844233e+01


The worst fit of the population is: 2.182345e+12




Generation#	    Solution Value

      0 	5.825065e+00
      1 	5.688523e+00
      2 	5.525643e+00
      3 	5.494993e+00
      4 	5.490334e+00
      5 	5.357897e+00
XXX
XXX
      6 	5.288628e+00
      7 	5.280317e+00
      8 	5.275866e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
      9 	5.187382e+00
XXX
XXX
     10 	5.179389e+00
     11 	5.178073e+00
     12 	5.177861e+00
     13 	5.177343e+00
     14 	5.176231e+00
XXX
XXX
     15 	5.172435e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
     16 	5.172297e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     17 	5.172285e+00
     18 	5.172285e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     19 	5.172284e+00
     20 	5.172283e+00
     21 	5.172276e+00
     22 	5.172275e+00
     23 	5.171948e+00
     24 	5.171694e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
     25 	5.113429e+00
     26 	5.113429e+00
     27 	5.113428e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     28 	5.112887e+00
     29 	5.102956e+00
     30 	5.100312e+00
     31 	5.100153e+00
     32 	5.100150e+00
     33 	5.100148e+00
     34 	5.100145e+00
XXX
XXX
     35 	5.100142e+00
     36 	5.100101e+00
XXX
     37 	5.097027e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     38 	5.095872e+00
     39 	5.095318e+00
     40 	5.095087e+00
     41 	5.095058e+00
     42 	5.095055e+00
     43 	5.095054e+00
     44 	5.095036e+00
     45 	5.094575e+00
     46 	5.093312e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     47 	5.093229e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     49 	5.093177e+00
     50 	5.092877e+00
     51 	5.092774e+00
     52 	5.092733e+00
     53 	5.092639e+00
     54 	5.092628e+00
     55 	5.092628e+00
     56 	5.092628e+00
     57 	5.092534e+00
     58 	5.092534e+00
     59 	5.092534e+00
     60 	5.092534e+00
     61 	5.092534e+00
     62 	5.092534e+00
     63 	5.092534e+00
     64 	5.092534e+00
     65 	5.092534e+00
     66 	5.092533e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
     67 	5.090256e+00
     68 	5.089884e+00
     69 	5.089832e+00
XXX
     70 	5.088854e+00
     71 	5.088575e+00
     72 	5.088445e+00
XXX
XXX
     73 	5.088109e+00
     74 	5.088019e+00
     75 	5.088013e+00
     76 	5.088011e+00
XXX
     77 	5.087726e+00
     78 	5.086782e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
     79 	5.086490e+00
     80 	5.086146e+00
     81 	5.086036e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     82 	5.085982e+00
     83 	5.085804e+00
     84 	5.085562e+00
     85 	5.085272e+00
     86 	5.085267e+00
     87 	5.085248e+00
     88 	5.085194e+00
     89 	5.085170e+00
     90 	5.085145e+00
     91 	5.085118e+00
     92 	5.084974e+00
     93 	5.084690e+00
     94 	5.084510e+00
     95 	5.084297e+00
     96 	5.084169e+00
     97 	5.084158e+00
     98 	5.084100e+00
     99 	5.083927e+00
    100 	5.083831e+00

Increasing Soft Maximum Generation Limit by 100 (MaxGenerations) to 200.
I'm doing this because the fitness is still improving.

    101 	5.083805e+00
    102 	5.083786e+00
    103 	5.083786e+00
    104 	5.083785e+00
    105 	5.083783e+00
    106 	5.083766e+00
    107 	5.083725e+00
    114 	5.083674e+00
    115 	5.083649e+00
    116 	5.083649e+00
    117 	5.083649e+00
    118 	5.083649e+00
    119 	5.083649e+00

Soft Generation Wait Limit Hit.
No Improvement in 10 Generations

Best Fit Found at Generation 119
Fit Value = 5.083649e+00


Parameters at the Solution (value, gradient):

 X[ 1] :	-6.794043e-01	G[ 1] :	-8.600863e+00
 X[ 2] :	4.896869e+00	G[ 2] :	-1.056304e+00
 X[ 3] :	1.306851e+01	G[ 3] :	-3.709060e-02
 X[ 4] :	-6.751529e-01	G[ 4] :	-3.833174e-02
 X[ 5] :	-5.010820e-02	G[ 5] :	-4.317460e+01
 X[ 6] :	8.309563e-01	G[ 6] :	4.058423e+00
 X[ 7] :	6.760435e-01	G[ 7] :	1.731341e+00
 X[ 8] :	8.144024e+02	G[ 8] :	1.068825e-03
 X[ 9] :	-7.328687e-01	G[ 9] :	-7.017478e-03
 X[10] :	6.966592e-02	G[10] :	-5.481245e+00
 X[11] :	3.216865e+00	G[11] :	-2.860181e+00
 X[12] :	3.213002e+00	G[12] :	-4.264700e+00
 X[13] :	8.073177e-01	G[13] :	-2.559879e+00
 X[14] :	1.518889e+00	G[14] :	3.763003e-01
 X[15] :	3.644938e-02	G[15] :	-2.197828e+01
 X[16] :	4.144095e+00	G[16] :	-1.131085e+02
 X[17] :	1.513178e+00	G[17] :	-4.153486e+01
 X[18] :	2.657002e+00	G[18] :	-1.139883e+00
 X[19] :	2.960641e+00	G[19] :	-3.279743e-01
 X[20] :	-4.803170e-03	G[20] :	3.973150e+01

Solution Found Generation 119
Number of Generations Run 127


Sat Feb 21 23:32:19 2004
Total run time : 0 hours 4 minutes and 11 seconds


LQD Results:
                                                           buchanan00      nader00     gore00      bush00 other00
(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/NA         -0.6794043   0.83095625 3.21686515  4.14409546       0
pperot96/pdemnader96/pdem96/prep96/NA                       4.8968686   0.67604348 3.21300156  1.51317790       0
pChangeRepRV00/pGreenRV00/pChangeDemRV00/pChangeRepRV00/NA 13.0685051 814.40236292 0.80731766  2.65700240       0
pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/NA                     -0.6751529  -0.73286873 1.51888898  2.96064134       0
pr1...1./pr1...2./pr1...3./pr1...4./NA                     -0.0501082   0.06966592 0.03644938 -0.00480317       0

LQD sigma: 5.083649 


(multinomTanh):
Tanh Estimates
                                                            buchanan00      nader00    gore00       bush00 other00
(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/NA         -0.62347986   0.80045507 3.3077631  4.113565582       0
pperot96/pdemnader96/pdem96/prep96/NA                       4.71236700   0.96213812 3.1080671  1.646380591       0
pChangeRepRV00/pGreenRV00/pChangeDemRV00/pChangeRepRV00/NA 13.06757177 707.37692712 0.8511454  2.654791123       0
pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/NA                     -1.00928804  -0.89104287 1.4634033  2.809674160       0
pr1...1./pr1...2./pr1...3./pr1...4./NA                     -0.05228849   0.04827886 0.0250290 -0.008111204       0

Tanh Sandwich SEs
                                                           buchanan00     nader00     gore00      bush00 other00
(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/NA         0.14078049  0.18835136 0.15411572 0.142284417       0
pperot96/pdemnader96/pdem96/prep96/NA                      1.27370485  0.45799971 0.31575488 0.295525618       0
pChangeRepRV00/pGreenRV00/pChangeDemRV00/pChangeRepRV00/NA 1.25661855 74.23917774 0.96309928 0.737096271       0
pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/NA                     0.44535314  0.25598366 0.22790422 0.211256863       0
pr1...1./pr1...2./pr1...3./pr1...4./NA                     0.02490874  0.01390203 0.01096480 0.007736179       0

TANH sigma: 4.325005 


**********************************

Iteration: 1 
using best non-genoud LQD sigma. Provided by Tanh.


Sat Feb 21 23:32:21 2004
Domains:
 -3.740879e+00   <=  X1   <=    2.493919e+00 
 -1.884947e+01   <=  X2   <=    2.827420e+01 
 -5.227029e+01   <=  X3   <=    7.840543e+01 
 -6.055728e+00   <=  X4   <=    4.037152e+00 
 -3.137309e-01   <=  X5   <=    2.091540e-01 
 -3.201820e+00   <=  X6   <=    4.802730e+00 
 -3.848552e+00   <=  X7   <=    5.772829e+00 
 -2.829508e+03   <=  X8   <=    4.244262e+03 
 -5.346257e+00   <=  X9   <=    3.564171e+00 
 -1.931154e-01   <=  X10  <=    2.896732e-01 
 -1.323105e+01   <=  X11  <=    1.984658e+01 
 -1.243227e+01   <=  X12  <=    1.864840e+01 
 -3.404582e+00   <=  X13  <=    5.106872e+00 
 -5.853613e+00   <=  X14  <=    8.780420e+00 
 -1.001160e-01   <=  X15  <=    1.501740e-01 
 -1.645426e+01   <=  X16  <=    2.468139e+01 
 -6.585522e+00   <=  X17  <=    9.878284e+00 
 -1.061916e+01   <=  X18  <=    1.592875e+01 
 -1.123870e+01   <=  X19  <=    1.685804e+01 
 -4.866723e-02   <=  X20  <=    3.244482e-02 

WARNING: Operator 5 (Polytope Crossover) may only be started
WARNING: an even number of times.  I am increasing this operator by one.

WARNING: Operator 6 (Multiple Point Simple Crossover) may only be started
WARNING: an even number of times.  I am increasing this operator by one.

WARNING: Operator 8 (Heuristic Crossover) may only be started
WARNING: an even number of times.  I am increasing this operator by one.

Data Type: Floating Point
Operators (code number, name, population) 
	(1) Cloning........................... 	121
	(2) Uniform Mutation.................. 	125
	(3) Boundary Mutation................. 	125
	(4) Non-Uniform Mutation.............. 	125
	(5) Polytope Crossover................ 	126
	(6) Multiple Point Simple Crossover... 	126
	(7) Whole Non-Uniform Mutation........ 	125
	(8) Heuristic Crossover............... 	126
	(9) Local-Minimum Crossover........... 	0

SOFT Maximum Number of Generations: 100
Maximum Nonchanging Generations: 10
Population size       : 1000
Convergence Tolerance: 1.000000e-07

Using the BFGS Derivative Based Optimizer on the Best Individual Each Generation.
Not Checking Gradients before Stoping
Using Out of Bounds Individuals.



Minimization Problem.

Parameter B (hardcoded): 6
Parameter Q (hardcoded): 0.500000


STARTING VALUES


The 2 best initial individuals are
-0.62	 4.71	13.07	-1.01	-0.05	 0.80	 0.96	707.38	-0.89	 0.05	 3.31	 3.11	 0.85	 1.46	 0.03	 4.11	 1.65	 2.65	 2.81	-0.01	
fitness = 5.192222e+00

-1.08	 9.41	46.86	-1.70	 0.18	 0.42	 1.45	-1560.56	 0.78	 0.10	-3.14	 7.73	 1.36	 6.30	 0.08	 2.18	 6.36	10.52	16.38	-0.03	
fitness = 2.853045e+01


The worst fit of the population is: 5.675010e+07




Generation#	    Solution Value

      0 	5.192222e+00
XXX
      1 	5.129779e+00
      2 	5.118255e+00
      3 	5.095748e+00
      4 	5.093187e+00
      5 	5.092577e+00
      7 	5.088641e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
      8 	5.085988e+00
      9 	5.078952e+00
XXX
XXX
     10 	5.068673e+00
     11 	5.068360e+00
     12 	5.065079e+00
     13 	5.064920e+00
     14 	5.064366e+00
     15 	5.061056e+00
     16 	5.038862e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
     17 	5.037255e+00
     18 	5.037099e+00
     19 	5.031679e+00
     20 	5.029748e+00
XXX
     21 	5.028554e+00
     22 	5.028363e+00
     23 	5.027599e+00
     24 	5.027522e+00
     25 	5.027124e+00
     26 	5.026794e+00
     27 	5.026793e+00
     28 	5.026792e+00
     29 	5.026792e+00
     30 	5.026791e+00
     31 	5.026791e+00
     32 	5.023440e+00
     33 	5.022995e+00
     34 	5.022994e+00
     35 	5.022764e+00
     36 	5.022677e+00
     37 	5.022660e+00
     38 	5.022649e+00
     39 	5.022649e+00
     45 	5.015629e+00
     46 	5.015197e+00
     47 	5.015193e+00
XXX
XXX
     48 	5.014860e+00
     49 	5.010630e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
     50 	5.007953e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     51 	5.007283e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     52 	5.005197e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
     53 	5.000808e+00
     54 	5.000808e+00
     55 	5.000804e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     56 	5.000676e+00
     57 	5.000621e+00
     58 	5.000392e+00
     59 	4.999870e+00
     60 	4.999728e+00
     61 	4.997700e+00
XXX
     62 	4.995220e+00
     63 	4.994271e+00
     64 	4.994271e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     65 	4.992744e+00
     66 	4.991546e+00
     67 	4.986179e+00
     68 	4.984378e+00
     69 	4.983235e+00
     70 	4.982775e+00
XXX
     71 	4.980861e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
     72 	4.980217e+00
     73 	4.980177e+00
     74 	4.980175e+00
     75 	4.980172e+00
     76 	4.980171e+00
     77 	4.980170e+00
     78 	4.980157e+00
     79 	4.980154e+00
     80 	4.980154e+00
     81 	4.980154e+00
     82 	4.980154e+00
     83 	4.979995e+00
XXX
     84 	4.979871e+00
     85 	4.979834e+00
     86 	4.979799e+00
     87 	4.979628e+00
     88 	4.979565e+00
     89 	4.979547e+00
     90 	4.979511e+00
     91 	4.979511e+00
     92 	4.979509e+00
     93 	4.979507e+00
     94 	4.979495e+00
     95 	4.979494e+00
     96 	4.979492e+00
     97 	4.979491e+00
     98 	4.979490e+00
     99 	4.979490e+00
    100 	4.979481e+00

Increasing Soft Maximum Generation Limit by 100 (MaxGenerations) to 200.
I'm doing this because the fitness is still improving.

    101 	4.979475e+00
    102 	4.979470e+00
    103 	4.979460e+00
    104 	4.979460e+00
    105 	4.979459e+00
    106 	4.979449e+00
    107 	4.979416e+00
    108 	4.979401e+00
XXX
    109 	4.979326e+00
    110 	4.979255e+00
    111 	4.979141e+00
    112 	4.979108e+00
    113 	4.979102e+00
    114 	4.979097e+00
    115 	4.977841e+00
    116 	4.977353e+00
    117 	4.977162e+00
    118 	4.977157e+00
    119 	4.977151e+00
    120 	4.977147e+00
    121 	4.977147e+00
    122 	4.977147e+00
    123 	4.977147e+00
    124 	4.977147e+00
    125 	4.977147e+00
    126 	4.977147e+00
    127 	4.976700e+00
    128 	4.976569e+00
    129 	4.976523e+00
    130 	4.976448e+00
    131 	4.975977e+00
    132 	4.975346e+00
    133 	4.975333e+00
    134 	4.975321e+00
    135 	4.975320e+00
    136 	4.975319e+00
    137 	4.975319e+00
    138 	4.975319e+00
    139 	4.975319e+00
    140 	4.975319e+00
    141 	4.975302e+00
    142 	4.975302e+00
    143 	4.975301e+00
    144 	4.975301e+00
    145 	4.975300e+00
    146 	4.975300e+00
    147 	4.975300e+00

WARNING: Turning Off MemoryMatrix because memory usage is too great.

    148 	4.975299e+00
    149 	4.975298e+00
    150 	4.975296e+00
    151 	4.975296e+00
    152 	4.975292e+00
    153 	4.975292e+00
    154 	4.975286e+00
    155 	4.975268e+00
    156 	4.975258e+00
    157 	4.975255e+00
    158 	4.975254e+00
    159 	4.975253e+00
    160 	4.975252e+00
    161 	4.975207e+00
    162 	4.975207e+00
    163 	4.975183e+00
    164 	4.975124e+00
    165 	4.975113e+00
    166 	4.975107e+00
    167 	4.975101e+00
    168 	4.975092e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
    169 	4.975085e+00
XXX
    170 	4.974923e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
    171 	4.974817e+00
    172 	4.974817e+00
    173 	4.974768e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
    174 	4.974565e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
    175 	4.974562e+00
    176 	4.974517e+00
    177 	4.974476e+00
    178 	4.974463e+00
    179 	4.974446e+00
    180 	4.974433e+00
    181 	4.974433e+00
XXX
XXX
    182 	4.974409e+00
    183 	4.974408e+00
    184 	4.974408e+00
    185 	4.974408e+00
    186 	4.974408e+00
    187 	4.974401e+00
    188 	4.974395e+00
    189 	4.974392e+00
    190 	4.974389e+00
    191 	4.974387e+00
    192 	4.974387e+00
    193 	4.974387e+00
    194 	4.974387e+00
    195 	4.974387e+00
    196 	4.974387e+00
    200 	4.974387e+00

Increasing Soft Maximum Generation Limit by 200 (MaxGenerations) to 400.
I'm doing this because the fitness is still improving.

    201 	4.974387e+00
    202 	4.974387e+00
    203 	4.974387e+00
    204 	4.974387e+00
    205 	4.974386e+00
    206 	4.974381e+00
    207 	4.974381e+00
    208 	4.974381e+00
    209 	4.974381e+00
    210 	4.974381e+00
    211 	4.974381e+00
    212 	4.974380e+00
    213 	4.974380e+00
    214 	4.974380e+00
    215 	4.974380e+00
    216 	4.974380e+00
    217 	4.974380e+00
    218 	4.974379e+00
    219 	4.974379e+00
    220 	4.974377e+00
    221 	4.974375e+00
    222 	4.974375e+00
    223 	4.974374e+00
    224 	4.974374e+00
    225 	4.974374e+00
    226 	4.974374e+00
    227 	4.974374e+00
    228 	4.974374e+00
    229 	4.974374e+00
    230 	4.974374e+00
    231 	4.974374e+00
    232 	4.974374e+00
    233 	4.974374e+00
    234 	4.974374e+00
    235 	4.974374e+00
    236 	4.974374e+00
    237 	4.974374e+00
    238 	4.974374e+00
    239 	4.974374e+00
    240 	4.974374e+00
    241 	4.974374e+00
    242 	4.974374e+00
    243 	4.974374e+00
    244 	4.974374e+00
    245 	4.974373e+00
    246 	4.974373e+00
    247 	4.974373e+00
    248 	4.974373e+00
    249 	4.974373e+00
    250 	4.974373e+00
    251 	4.974373e+00
    252 	4.974373e+00
XXX
    253 	4.972983e+00
    254 	4.972843e+00
    255 	4.972787e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
    256 	4.972738e+00
XXX
XXX
    257 	4.972694e+00
    258 	4.972659e+00
    259 	4.972649e+00
    260 	4.972649e+00
    261 	4.972649e+00
    262 	4.972649e+00
    263 	4.972649e+00
    264 	4.972649e+00
    265 	4.972649e+00
    266 	4.972649e+00
    267 	4.972649e+00
    268 	4.972649e+00
    269 	4.972649e+00
    270 	4.972649e+00
    271 	4.972649e+00
    272 	4.972649e+00
    273 	4.972649e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
    274 	4.972573e+00
    275 	4.972570e+00
    276 	4.972570e+00
    277 	4.972569e+00
    278 	4.972569e+00
    279 	4.972568e+00
    280 	4.972567e+00
    281 	4.972566e+00
    282 	4.972550e+00
    283 	4.972289e+00
    284 	4.972223e+00
    285 	4.972173e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
    286 	4.972140e+00
    287 	4.972087e+00
    288 	4.972069e+00
    289 	4.972045e+00
    290 	4.972044e+00
    291 	4.972041e+00
    292 	4.972039e+00
XXX
    293 	4.972037e+00
XXX
    294 	4.972036e+00
XXX
    295 	4.972033e+00
    296 	4.972030e+00
XXX
    297 	4.972002e+00
XXX
    298 	4.972001e+00
    299 	4.972001e+00
    300 	4.972001e+00
    301 	4.972001e+00
    302 	4.971999e+00
    303 	4.971998e+00
    304 	4.971997e+00
    305 	4.971990e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
    306 	4.971962e+00
    307 	4.971962e+00
    308 	4.971961e+00
    309 	4.971961e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
    310 	4.971955e+00
    314 	4.971955e+00
    315 	4.971955e+00
    316 	4.971955e+00
    317 	4.971955e+00
    318 	4.971955e+00
    319 	4.971955e+00
    320 	4.971955e+00
    321 	4.971955e+00
    322 	4.971955e+00
    323 	4.971955e+00
    324 	4.971955e+00
    325 	4.971955e+00
    328 	4.971955e+00
    329 	4.971955e+00
    330 	4.971954e+00
    331 	4.971954e+00
    332 	4.971954e+00
    333 	4.971954e+00
    334 	4.971882e+00
XXX
XXX
    335 	4.971877e+00
    336 	4.971873e+00
    337 	4.971852e+00
    338 	4.971837e+00
    339 	4.971780e+00
    340 	4.971731e+00
    341 	4.971724e+00
    342 	4.971721e+00
    343 	4.971710e+00
    344 	4.971709e+00
    345 	4.971686e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
    346 	4.971615e+00
    347 	4.971532e+00
    348 	4.971518e+00
XXX
    349 	4.971480e+00
    350 	4.971478e+00
XXX
XXX
    351 	4.971435e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
    352 	4.971431e+00
    353 	4.971431e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
    354 	4.971421e+00
    355 	4.971411e+00
    356 	4.971409e+00
    357 	4.971389e+00
    358 	4.971389e+00
    359 	4.971333e+00
    360 	4.971310e+00
    361 	4.971310e+00
XXX
XXX
    362 	4.971275e+00
    363 	4.971275e+00
    364 	4.971275e+00
    365 	4.971275e+00
    366 	4.971275e+00
    367 	4.971275e+00
    368 	4.971274e+00
    369 	4.971263e+00
    370 	4.971263e+00
    371 	4.971262e+00
    372 	4.971261e+00
    373 	4.971260e+00
    374 	4.971254e+00
    375 	4.971252e+00
    376 	4.971250e+00
    377 	4.971236e+00
    378 	4.971227e+00
    379 	4.971226e+00
    380 	4.971225e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
    381 	4.971222e+00
    382 	4.971219e+00
    383 	4.971218e+00
XXX
XXX
    384 	4.971206e+00
    385 	4.971199e+00
    386 	4.971164e+00
    387 	4.971161e+00
    388 	4.971143e+00
    389 	4.971137e+00
    390 	4.971136e+00
    391 	4.971133e+00
    392 	4.971130e+00
    393 	4.971129e+00
    394 	4.971129e+00
    395 	4.971125e+00
    396 	4.971124e+00
    397 	4.971121e+00
    398 	4.971121e+00
    399 	4.971120e+00
    400 	4.971120e+00

Increasing Soft Maximum Generation Limit by 400 (MaxGenerations) to 800.
I'm doing this because the fitness is still improving.

    401 	4.971120e+00
    402 	4.971120e+00
    403 	4.971120e+00
    404 	4.971120e+00
    405 	4.971120e+00
    406 	4.971120e+00
    407 	4.971120e+00
    408 	4.971120e+00
    409 	4.971120e+00

Soft Generation Wait Limit Hit.
No Improvement in 10 Generations

Best Fit Found at Generation 409
Fit Value = 4.971120e+00


Parameters at the Solution (value, gradient):

 X[ 1] :	-6.233066e-01	G[ 1] :	1.746411e+01
 X[ 2] :	4.727491e+00	G[ 2] :	1.918416e+00
 X[ 3] :	1.304854e+01	G[ 3] :	-2.273553e-01
 X[ 4] :	-8.226187e-01	G[ 4] :	2.047297e-01
 X[ 5] :	-6.096456e-02	G[ 5] :	6.606583e+00
 X[ 6] :	8.214585e-01	G[ 6] :	-8.156931e+00
 X[ 7] :	9.664444e-01	G[ 7] :	-1.184101e+01
 X[ 8] :	6.934434e+02	G[ 8] :	-8.670810e-04
 X[ 9] :	-1.028045e+00	G[ 9] :	-2.218564e+00
 X[10] :	5.124007e-02	G[10] :	5.402891e+00
 X[11] :	3.303459e+00	G[11] :	1.740683e+00
 X[12] :	3.113718e+00	G[12] :	-1.069506e+01
 X[13] :	1.004395e+00	G[13] :	-2.262700e+00
 X[14] :	1.460433e+00	G[14] :	6.142243e+00
 X[15] :	2.511836e-02	G[15] :	1.316361e+02
 X[16] :	4.112596e+00	G[16] :	5.326125e-01
 X[17] :	1.648189e+00	G[17] :	8.110637e+00
 X[18] :	2.654167e+00	G[18] :	5.282367e+00
 X[19] :	2.810234e+00	G[19] :	2.956166e+01
 X[20] :	-9.660173e-03	G[20] :	-4.130052e+02

Solution Found Generation 409
Number of Generations Run 414


Sat Feb 21 23:48:14 2004
Total run time : 0 hours 15 minutes and 53 seconds

(iter 1 ): LQD Results:
                                                            buchanan00      nader00     gore00       bush00 other00
(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/NA         -0.62330658   0.82145853 3.30345868  4.112596405       0
pperot96/pdemnader96/pdem96/prep96/NA                       4.72749113   0.96644441 3.11371847  1.648188671       0
pChangeRepRV00/pGreenRV00/pChangeDemRV00/pChangeRepRV00/NA 13.04854192 693.44339154 1.00439549  2.654167039       0
pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/NA                     -0.82261873  -1.02804490 1.46043308  2.810234203       0
pr1...1./pr1...2./pr1...3./pr1...4./NA                     -0.06096456   0.05124007 0.02511836 -0.009660173       0

(iter 1 ): LQD sigma: 4.97112 

(iter 1 ): Tanh Estimates
                                                            buchanan00      nader00     gore00      bush00 other00
(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/NA         -0.60757160   0.76588672 3.33486384  4.09533468       0
pperot96/pdemnader96/pdem96/prep96/NA                       4.63905858   1.14406144 3.07451562  1.70254940       0
pChangeRepRV00/pGreenRV00/pChangeDemRV00/pChangeRepRV00/NA 13.06111023 660.35622344 1.01619664  2.64453388       0
pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/NA                     -1.04908749  -0.98941437 1.46556804  2.76810682       0
pr1...1./pr1...2./pr1...3./pr1...4./NA                     -0.05386266   0.04022171 0.02230254 -0.00832922       0

(iter 1 ): Tanh Sandwich SEs
                                                           buchanan00     nader00     gore00      bush00 other00
(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/NA         0.14443612  0.18304380 0.15194458 0.139631610       0
pperot96/pdemnader96/pdem96/prep96/NA                      1.29789855  0.44902664 0.31334481 0.288934323       0
pChangeRepRV00/pGreenRV00/pChangeDemRV00/pChangeRepRV00/NA 1.23243481 74.28593251 0.92205459 0.713696831       0
pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/NA                     0.44450400  0.26906950 0.23664702 0.220414813       0
pr1...1./pr1...2./pr1...3./pr1...4./NA                     0.02461421  0.01370657 0.01045570 0.007428794       0

(iter 1 ): TANH sigma: 4.289137 


**********************************

Iteration: 2 
using LQD sigma provided by Tanh.


Sat Feb 21 23:48:16 2004
Domains:
 -3.645430e+00   <=  X1   <=    2.430286e+00 
 -1.855623e+01   <=  X2   <=    2.783435e+01 
 -5.224444e+01   <=  X3   <=    7.836666e+01 
 -6.294525e+00   <=  X4   <=    4.196350e+00 
 -3.231760e-01   <=  X5   <=    2.154507e-01 
 -3.063547e+00   <=  X6   <=    4.595320e+00 
 -4.576246e+00   <=  X7   <=    6.864369e+00 
 -2.641425e+03   <=  X8   <=    3.962137e+03 
 -5.936486e+00   <=  X9   <=    3.957657e+00 
 -1.608868e-01   <=  X10  <=    2.413303e-01 
 -1.333946e+01   <=  X11  <=    2.000918e+01 
 -1.229806e+01   <=  X12  <=    1.844709e+01 
 -4.064787e+00   <=  X13  <=    6.097180e+00 
 -5.862272e+00   <=  X14  <=    8.793408e+00 
 -8.921017e-02   <=  X15  <=    1.338153e-01 
 -1.638134e+01   <=  X16  <=    2.457201e+01 
 -6.810198e+00   <=  X17  <=    1.021530e+01 
 -1.057814e+01   <=  X18  <=    1.586720e+01 
 -1.107243e+01   <=  X19  <=    1.660864e+01 
 -4.997532e-02   <=  X20  <=    3.331688e-02 

WARNING: Operator 5 (Polytope Crossover) may only be started
WARNING: an even number of times.  I am increasing this operator by one.

WARNING: Operator 6 (Multiple Point Simple Crossover) may only be started
WARNING: an even number of times.  I am increasing this operator by one.

WARNING: Operator 8 (Heuristic Crossover) may only be started
WARNING: an even number of times.  I am increasing this operator by one.

Data Type: Floating Point
Operators (code number, name, population) 
	(1) Cloning........................... 	121
	(2) Uniform Mutation.................. 	125
	(3) Boundary Mutation................. 	125
	(4) Non-Uniform Mutation.............. 	125
	(5) Polytope Crossover................ 	126
	(6) Multiple Point Simple Crossover... 	126
	(7) Whole Non-Uniform Mutation........ 	125
	(8) Heuristic Crossover............... 	126
	(9) Local-Minimum Crossover........... 	0

SOFT Maximum Number of Generations: 100
Maximum Nonchanging Generations: 10
Population size       : 1000
Convergence Tolerance: 1.000000e-07

Using the BFGS Derivative Based Optimizer on the Best Individual Each Generation.
Not Checking Gradients before Stoping
Using Out of Bounds Individuals.



Minimization Problem.

Parameter B (hardcoded): 6
Parameter Q (hardcoded): 0.500000


STARTING VALUES


The 2 best initial individuals are
-0.61	 4.64	13.06	-1.05	-0.05	 0.77	 1.14	660.36	-0.99	 0.04	 3.33	 3.07	 1.02	 1.47	 0.02	 4.10	 1.70	 2.64	 2.77	-0.01	
fitness = 5.156905e+00

-2.41	25.74	59.20	-0.10	 0.19	 1.24	-1.47	-1663.73	-0.17	 0.08	 2.10	 3.82	-3.97	 5.61	 0.12	 6.85	-6.32	 7.30	 3.98	-0.01	
fitness = 3.495695e+01


The worst fit of the population is: 4.538827e+07




Generation#	    Solution Value

      0 	5.156905e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
      1 	5.077203e+00
      7 	5.072696e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
      8 	5.070625e+00
      9 	5.070132e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     10 	5.069266e+00
XXX
XXX
     11 	5.069175e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     12 	5.069150e+00
XXX
     13 	5.069069e+00
XXX
XXX
     14 	5.068805e+00
     15 	5.068785e+00
     16 	5.068695e+00
     17 	5.068573e+00
     18 	5.068528e+00
     19 	5.068524e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     20 	5.068096e+00
     21 	5.063849e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
     22 	5.063719e+00
     23 	5.060132e+00
     24 	5.058703e+00
     25 	5.058703e+00
     26 	5.058703e+00
     27 	5.057938e+00
     28 	5.056805e+00
     29 	5.056804e+00
     30 	5.056804e+00
     31 	5.056803e+00
     32 	5.056791e+00
     33 	5.055664e+00
     34 	5.054481e+00
     35 	5.054478e+00
     36 	5.054469e+00
     37 	5.054469e+00
     38 	5.054467e+00
     39 	5.054466e+00
     40 	5.054466e+00
     41 	5.054445e+00
     42 	5.054445e+00
     43 	5.054445e+00
     44 	5.054445e+00
     45 	5.054445e+00
     46 	5.054445e+00
     47 	5.054445e+00
     48 	5.054443e+00
     49 	5.054443e+00
     50 	5.054432e+00
     51 	5.054425e+00
     52 	5.054418e+00
     53 	5.054400e+00
     54 	5.054400e+00
     55 	5.054400e+00
     56 	5.054400e+00
     57 	5.054400e+00
     58 	5.054400e+00
     59 	5.054399e+00
     60 	5.054120e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     61 	5.052981e+00
     62 	5.052699e+00
XXX
XXX
     63 	5.052498e+00
     64 	5.052410e+00
     65 	5.052409e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     66 	5.052012e+00
     67 	5.051441e+00
     68 	5.051352e+00
     69 	5.050318e+00
     70 	5.050014e+00
     71 	5.050008e+00
     72 	5.049942e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     73 	5.049894e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     74 	5.049532e+00
     75 	5.048431e+00
     76 	5.048429e+00
     77 	5.048359e+00
     78 	5.048147e+00
     79 	5.047989e+00
     80 	5.047878e+00
     81 	5.047804e+00
     82 	5.047661e+00
     83 	5.047523e+00
     84 	5.047195e+00
     85 	5.047020e+00
     86 	5.046911e+00
     87 	5.046883e+00
     88 	5.046883e+00
     89 	5.046880e+00
     90 	5.046865e+00
     91 	5.046861e+00
     92 	5.046857e+00
     93 	5.046823e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
     94 	5.046639e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
     95 	5.046516e+00
XXX
     96 	5.046471e+00
     97 	5.046459e+00
     98 	5.046454e+00
     99 	5.046441e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
    100 	5.046382e+00

Increasing Soft Maximum Generation Limit by 100 (MaxGenerations) to 200.
I'm doing this because the fitness is still improving.

    101 	5.046379e+00
    102 	5.046372e+00
    103 	5.046366e+00
    104 	5.046365e+00
    105 	5.046359e+00
    106 	5.046358e+00
    107 	5.046351e+00
    108 	5.046350e+00
    109 	5.046350e+00
    110 	5.046349e+00
    111 	5.046349e+00
    112 	5.046349e+00
    113 	5.046349e+00
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
    114 	5.046341e+00
    115 	5.046338e+00
    116 	5.046338e+00
    117 	5.046338e+00
    118 	5.046338e+00
    119 	5.046338e+00
    120 	5.046338e+00
    121 	5.046338e+00
    122 	5.046338e+00
    123 	5.046338e+00
    124 	5.046338e+00
    125 	5.046338e+00
    126 	5.046338e+00
    127 	5.046338e+00

Soft Generation Wait Limit Hit.
No Improvement in 10 Generations

Best Fit Found at Generation 127
Fit Value = 5.046338e+00


Parameters at the Solution (value, gradient):

 X[ 1] :	-6.053807e-01	G[ 1] :	3.418533e+00
 X[ 2] :	4.642160e+00	G[ 2] :	2.173717e-02
 X[ 3] :	1.306464e+01	G[ 3] :	-8.640353e-01
 X[ 4] :	-8.890987e-01	G[ 4] :	2.714999e-01
 X[ 5] :	-4.636576e-02	G[ 5] :	-6.754284e+01
 X[ 6] :	7.656052e-01	G[ 6] :	-9.769002e+00
 X[ 7] :	1.145205e+00	G[ 7] :	-1.055057e+01
 X[ 8] :	6.604026e+02	G[ 8] :	-1.416293e-04
 X[ 9] :	-1.055310e+00	G[ 9] :	-6.341170e-03
 X[10] :	4.190072e-02	G[10] :	-1.591142e+00
 X[11] :	3.333514e+00	G[11] :	-4.921518e+00
 X[12] :	3.074271e+00	G[12] :	-7.975779e+01
 X[13] :	1.017500e+00	G[13] :	4.086450e+00
 X[14] :	1.463436e+00	G[14] :	-8.220529e-01
 X[15] :	1.974885e-02	G[15] :	-1.249816e+01
 X[16] :	4.094297e+00	G[16] :	1.634684e+02
 X[17] :	1.702585e+00	G[17] :	7.637469e+01
 X[18] :	2.644295e+00	G[18] :	-5.483194e+00
 X[19] :	2.769398e+00	G[19] :	6.353158e-01
 X[20] :	-1.148855e-02	G[20] :	-2.421645e+02

Solution Found Generation 127
Number of Generations Run 127


Sat Feb 21 23:52:26 2004
Total run time : 0 hours 4 minutes and 10 seconds

(iter 2 ): LQD Results:
                                                            buchanan00      nader00     gore00      bush00 other00
(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/(Intercept)/NA         -0.60538069   0.76560521 3.33351379  4.09429714       0
pperot96/pdemnader96/pdem96/prep96/NA                       4.64215952   1.14520548 3.07427094  1.70258490       0
pChangeRepRV00/pGreenRV00/pChangeDemRV00/pChangeRepRV00/NA 13.06463688 660.40257319 1.01749984  2.64429532       0
pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/pcuban00/NA                     -0.88909869  -1.05530975 1.46343604  2.76939817       0
pr1...1./pr1...2./pr1...3./pr1...4./NA                     -0.04636576   0.04190072 0.01974885 -0.01148855       0

(iter 2 ): LQD sigma: 5.046338 

WARNING: New fit is worse.  Stopping.
It may be a good idea to restart with a larger GENOUD population.
> 
> summary(muFLfull1, weights=TRUE)

Choice 1 : buchanan00 Estimates and SE:
                   Est SE.Sand SE.OPG SE.Hess t.val.Sand
(Intercept)    -0.6080  0.1440 0.0595 0.03970      -4.21
pperot96        4.6400  1.3000 0.4920 0.34300       3.57
pChangeRepRV00 13.1000  1.2300 0.5810 0.36600      10.60
pcuban00       -1.0500  0.4450 0.8890 0.20200      -2.36
pr1...1.       -0.0539  0.0246 0.0135 0.00741      -2.19


Choice 2 : nader00 Estimates and SE:
                    Est SE.Sand  SE.OPG  SE.Hess t.val.Sand
(Intercept)      0.7660  0.1830 0.05630  0.03840       4.18
pdemnader96      1.1400  0.4490 0.13300  0.08730       2.55
pGreenRV00     660.0000 74.3000 0.01430 15.50000       8.89
pcuban00        -0.9890  0.2690 1.57000  0.13400      -3.68
pr1...2.         0.0402  0.0137 0.00536  0.00321       2.93


Choice 3 : gore00 Estimates and SE:
                  Est SE.Sand  SE.OPG SE.Hess t.val.Sand
(Intercept)    3.3300  0.1520 0.02840  0.0260      21.90
pdem96         3.0700  0.3130 0.06510  0.0533       9.81
pChangeDemRV00 1.0200  0.9220 0.17800  0.1610       1.10
pcuban00       1.4700  0.2370 0.83400  0.1110       6.19
pr1...3.       0.0223  0.0105 0.00257  0.0021       2.13


Choice 4 : bush00 Estimates and SE:
                    Est SE.Sand  SE.OPG SE.Hess t.val.Sand
(Intercept)     4.10000 0.14000 0.02970 0.02350      29.30
prep96          1.70000 0.28900 0.05880 0.04990       5.89
pChangeRepRV00  2.64000 0.71400 0.15200 0.13100       3.71
pcuban00        2.77000 0.22000 0.85400 0.10900      12.60
pr1...4.       -0.00833 0.00743 0.00201 0.00163      -1.12


Choice 5 : other00 Estimates and SE:
               Est SE.Sand SE.OPG SE.Hess t.val.Sand
NA               0       0      0       0        NaN
NA               0       0      0       0        NaN
NA               0       0      0       0        NaN
NA               0       0      0       0        NaN
NA               0       0      0       0        NaN


LQD sigma: 4.97112 
TANH sigma: 4.289137 

Number of Observations: 67 
Number of observations with at least one zero weight: 8 
Number of zero weights: 11 
TANH: weights
   name weights:buchanan00 weights:nader00 weights:gore00 weights:bush00
1     1           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       0.000000
2     2           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
3     3           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
4     4           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
5     5           1.000000        1.000000       0.802016       1.000000
6     6           1.000000        0.000000       0.000000       1.000000
7     7           0.807664        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
8     8           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
9     9           1.000000        0.490384       1.000000       1.000000
10   10           1.000000        0.959429       1.000000       1.000000
11   11           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
12   12           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
13   13           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
14   14           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
15   15           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
16   16           1.000000        0.000000       0.000000       1.000000
17   17           1.000000        1.000000       0.272536       1.000000
18   18           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
19   19           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
20   20           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
21   21           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
22   22           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
23   23           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
24   24           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
25   25           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
26   26           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
27   27           1.000000        0.845259       1.000000       1.000000
28   28           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
29   29           1.000000        1.000000       0.875313       1.000000
30   30           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
31   31           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
32   32           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
33   33           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
34   34           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
35   35           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
36   36           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
37   37           1.000000        0.291226       0.000000       1.000000
38   38           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
39   39           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
40   40           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
41   41           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
42   42           1.000000        1.000000       0.151846       0.268787
43   43           1.000000        1.000000       0.019197       1.000000
44   44           1.000000        0.181792       1.000000       1.000000
45   45           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
46   46           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
47   47           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
48   48           1.000000        0.000000       1.000000       1.000000
49   49           1.000000        0.967999       1.000000       0.925661
50   50           0.000000        0.000000       1.000000       1.000000
51   51           1.000000        0.318300       0.000000       1.000000
52   52           1.000000        1.000000       0.000000       1.000000
53   53           1.000000        0.464995       1.000000       1.000000
54   54           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
55   55           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
56   56           1.000000        1.000000       0.739383       1.000000
57   57           1.000000        1.000000       0.507975       1.000000
58   58           1.000000        0.951739       1.000000       1.000000
59   59           1.000000        0.438783       1.000000       1.000000
60   60           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
61   61           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
62   62           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
63   63           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
64   64           1.000000        1.000000       0.661447       1.000000
65   65           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
66   66           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
67   67           1.000000        1.000000       1.000000       1.000000
> 
> save(muFLfull1, file="FLfull1.RData");
> proc.time()
[1] 1531.97   17.91 1558.80    0.00    0.00
> 
